writeup: https://kyla.substack.com/p/irrational-idealism-inflation-and

**NEWS** "The U.S. believes Putin has decided to invade Ukraine and communicated those plans to the Russian military. Two admin officials say they expect the invasion to begin next week—echoing what Secretary of State Blinken has said." More on that this weekend.

In this piece, I want to talk about ~inflation~ and some thoughts around why it is doing what it is doing. I will discuss supply and demand, wage inflation, energy prices, the yield curve, corporate profits, crypto, etc.

00:00 - Intro
03:39 - Supply and Demand
05:17 - Wage Inflation
07:34 - Energy
09:18 - Bond Market
10:23 - Stocks
11:58 - Crypto
12:18 - Midterms
12:52 - What is the Fed going to do?
16:25 - Final Thoughts

so it’s energy prices, it’s a clearly higher cost of living, it’s higher wages but not really, but price increases anyways, and it’s supply chains and goods pressure - it’s how fast the Fed moves, how well monetary policy works - it’s a lot of little things bubbling up to one big thing - how do we fix it? it’s a tightrope right? companies have to pay people more to get them to do the work to make the things that people want because people have to spend money so GDP go up because then economy grows good but can’t grow too fast because then inflation but can’t grow too slow because recession so. so,

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