A slight shift in Hurricane Ian’s track could make all the difference between seawater coursing through the streets of Tampa and a close call for the biggest city on Florida’s exposed western coast.

A strike just north of the mouth of Tampa Bay could push a 10-foot (3-meter) wall of water into the waterway that on a map resembles a lobster with two claws. The damage statewide could be so catastrophic that it surpasses that wreaked by Andrew 30 years ago.

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